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ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — The 11 a.m. advisory for Dorian shows the storm has been downgraded to a Category 4 hurricane.
The storm is producing winds up to 155 mph.
Grand Bahama Island continues to experience catastrophic winds and storm surge as Dorian moves west at 1 mph.
Hurricane Dorian made landfall on the eastern end of Grand Bahama Island as a powerful Category 5 hurricane.
It made landfall in Elbow Cay, Bahamas, around 12:45 p.m. Sunday with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph.
Dorian was downgraded to a Category 4 storm Monday morning. Winds are now 155 mph.
The most reliable weather computer models have been consistent during the past day in keeping the powerful storm just off the Florida coast and away from landfall. These models, however, are not forecasts — and they tend to change with every update.
In fact, after an eastward shift during the day Saturday, some models again include parts of Florida’s east coast for significant impacts or a potential landfall.
Dorian is an extremely dangerous, Category 5 storm as of the National Hurricane Center’s latest advisory.
The following watches and warnings are in effect:
- Hurricane warning: Northwestern Bahamas, excluding Andros Island
- Hurricane watch: Andros Islands, north of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County line on Florida’s east coast
- Tropical storm warning: North of Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet, Florida.
- Tropical storm watch: North of Golden Beach to Deerfield Beach.
Prolonged life-threatening storm surge and devastating hurricane-force winds are expected Sunday through early Monday for the northwest Bahamas.
The National Hurricane Center said hazards for the islands include winds gusts over 200 miles per hour and storm surge 15-20 feet above normal tide levels with possibly higher waves.
Residents in the Abaco Islands are asked to take immediate shelter and to not venture into the eye if it passes over.
Hurricane Dorian is moving westward, but a shift to the north is expected during the next several days. Although the official forecast track by the National Hurricane Center has shifted more so to the east, there remains some uncertainty in exactly when and just where that turn to the north will occur.
10Weather and National Hurricane Center meteorologists expect the core of Dorian to continue a churn toward the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday and approach Florida’s east coast on Monday.
From there, the latest data suggests Dorian will make that eventual slow turn to the north. This is a positive forecast for the Tampa Bay region but one of most concern for Florida’s east coast because a slow, powerful storm that rides the coastline is likely to bring more prolonged and significant impacts.
Again, stay tuned to the latest forecast as Dorian’s track and intensity become more certain.
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Each line represents a computer model’s best “guess” of where the center of the storm will go. Together, they look like spaghetti noodles. Remember, impacts from a tropical system can and do occur miles away from the center.
This is the latest “cone of uncertainty,” which shows an area where the center of the storm could go, when and how strong it might be at the given time.
Satellite and radar
The latest satellite and radar image for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean.
Watches and warnings
What’s a watch? What’s a warning? Here are the official alerts that can be issued for your area and what you should do.