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Two areas to watch, but far too soon to know where they will go, if they even develop!
NEW ORLEANS — Eye on Tropics: With Laura done, we currently have no named storms in the Atlantic basin. That certainly won’t last forever as we are nearing the peak of the season (September 10) and the NHC is currently tracking two tropical waves in the Atlantic. Models are inconsistent at this time as to their possible development or path, so no need to focus on those. There is plenty of time to watch.
HURRICANE CENTER: Latest Tracks, Models & Radar – Click here.
Hurricane season forecast to become “extremely active”
NOAA released their August hurricane season forecast update and called for an ‘Extremely Active’ season. The forecast called for 19-25 named storms, 7-11 hurricanes and 3-6 major. These numbers already include nine named storms and two hurricanes.
The reasons for the extremely active season:
• Warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Caribbean
• Enhanced West African Monsoon (rainy) season – causes tropical waves
• Possible La Nina forming in the months ahead
• Reduced wind shear over the Atlantic Basin – allows storms to develop
Now is the time to be prepared. Typically, the season becomes more active in the next few weeks with the peak on September 10th.
The expert forecasters at Colorado State issued their August update on the 2020 hurricane season. Their forecast now calls for 24 named storms (total for the season), 12 hurricanes and five major hurricanes.
That’s an increase of four named storms, three hurricanes, and one major hurricane.
Should there be 24 named storms, they would run out of names and have to go to the Greek alphabet, like in 2005.