Tropical Storm Elsa to bring rain, wind to North Carolina later this week

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RALEIGH, N.C. (WTVD) — Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to move over North Carolina later this week, bringing rain with it.

Elsa continues to strengthen as it approaches Florida, and it could be near hurricane strength when it makes landfall somewhere around Tampa on Wednesday.

Elsa will weaken when it moves over land and tracks toward North Carolina. However, the storm could still drop large amounts of rain when it arrives in the Tar Heel state.

The latest track from the National Weather Service has the storm tracking up along Interstate 95 and arriving sometime Thursday.

There’s a chance for some rain to move into the state late Wednesday night, but the bulk of the storms will be Thursday.

There’s still plenty of time for some adjustments to this forecast, so stick with the ABC11 First Alert Weather Team as they track the changes in the coming days.

But for now, expect the bulk of the rain to arrive around midday Thursday. Elsa zips through our region and is gone by Friday morning.

Elsa’s sustained winds will likely be down to around 35 miles per hour when it arrives in our state.

There is a risk of tropical storm conditions, storm surge, and rainfall impacts along coast of the Carolinas late Wednesday and Thursday.

Enhanced showers and isolated storms will be possible with Elsa and its remnants. Rain totals look to be around half-an-inch to 2 inches.

What goes into forecasting hurricanes

Elsa’s impact so far

Elsa made landfall in Cuba on Monday afternoon near Cienega de Zapata, a natural park with few inhabitants. It headed northwestward across the island, passing Havana just to the east.

Elsa’s maximum sustained winds strengthened to 60 mph (95 kph) late Monday. Its core was about 20 miles (35 kilometers) north-northeast of Havana and 80 miles (130 kilometers) south-southwest of Key West, Florida. It was moving to the north-northwest at 12 mph (19 kph).

There were no early reports of serious damage as Elsa passed over Cuba.

“The wind is blowing hard and there is a lot of rain. Some water is getting under the door of my house. In the yard the level is high, but it did not get into the house,” Lázaro Ramón Sosa, a craftsman and photographer who lives in the town of Cienega de Zapata, told The Associated Press by telephone.

Sosa said he saw some avocado trees fall nearby.

Though Havana missed the brunt of the storm, many people in the capital stayed in place.

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“For now, I staying at home. We have to wait for the night and see exactly what happens,” Aida Herrera, who lives next to the Malecon boulevard facing the sea, told AP.

Elsa had spent Sunday and much of Monday sweeping parallel to Cuba’s southern coast before heading on to land, sparing most of the island from significant effects. As a precaution, Cuban officials had evacuated 180,000 people against the possibility of heavy flooding from a storm that already battered several Caribbean islands, killing at least three people.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said the storm was expected to be near the Florida Keys early Tuesday and would then pass near or over portions of Florida’s west coast by late Tuesday and into Wednesday.

Tropical storm warnings were posted for the Florida Keys from Craig Key westward to the Dry Tortugas and for the west coast of Florida from Flamingo northward to the Ochlockonee River.

Elsa was the first hurricane of the Atlantic season until Saturday morning and caused widespread damage on several eastern Caribbean islands Friday. As a tropical storm, it resulted in the deaths of one person on St. Lucia and of a 15-year-old boy and a 75-year-old woman in separate events in the Dominican Republic.

Elsa is the earliest fifth-named storm on record, said Brian McNoldy, a hurricane researcher at the University of Miami.

The Associated Press contributed.

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