Severe weather possible Tuesday evening for Raleigh, Durham, surrounding areas

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RALEIGH (WTVD) — Severe weather could develop Tuesday afternoon and evening throughout central North Carolina.

Most of the ABC11 viewing area is under a slight risk for severe weather.

Meteorologist Don “Big Weather” Schwenneker said the biggest threat from these storms are damaging winds, but there is an isolated chance of tornadoes as well.

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Temperatures will reach into the mid-90s with a heat index above 100 in some places.

As the day progresses, storm activity will bring heavy downpours to parts of the viewing area by late afternoon and early evening. ABC11 will continue to keep you updated with the latest conditions here, on social media and on television.

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Wednesday will see highs in the low 90s with spotty showers and storms. The southeast area of central North Carolina will likely be under a marginal risk for severe weather.

Heat and humidity will continue to increase ahead of a surface low over Illinois. As this system slowly progresses eastward, rain can be expected through the weekend as the surface low stalls along the Carolina coast.

On Wednesday the cold front arrives to North Carolina and could bring the threat for heavy rainfall and flash flooding as PWAT values soar to 2.4 inches or above in some spots across the viewing area in the afternoon.

By Thursday, the cold front has moved through the viewing area and it will dry out the mid- and upper levels. This should suppress thunderstorm activity, but the surface feature will stall along the North Carolina coast. Storms will be isolated in nature across the viewing area with the threat not going away come the weekend and early next week.

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Shower and thunderstorm activity will likely continue to be possible in spots of the viewing area come early next week as the surface low continues to hang out above the Outer Banks. The European model has this feature sliding northward into Delaware on Wednesday of next week, which may provide a break from shower activity.

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