Why could this year’s quiet Atlantic hurricane season soon change?

HOUSTON — Heading into this hurricane season experts predicted there would be above-average activity.

And even though it has been quiet just a couple of weeks ago the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Colorado State University were still saying we should expect an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic. If that prediction holds true it would be the seventh consecutive above-normal hurricane season.

There hasn’t been a named storm in the Atlantic basin since Colin in early July. But now the National Hurricane Center is indicating that a sudden uptick in activity is possible.

The historic peak of hurricane season is mid-September, but things usually start to heat up around the end of August and keep on kicking until mid-October.

NOAA forecasters predict there will be 14 to 20 named storms this season with six to 10 hurricanes. But all it takes is one storm in the right place and the right time to do a lot of damage.

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In 1992, there were only seven named storms, a very quiet hurricane season. The first hurricane to hit that year was Andrew, a Category 5 storm that tore through South Florida. A reminder that even quiet years can leave devastation in their wake.

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